Stay Tuned

Getting ready to update, going through some more weather data. Stay tuned!

Winter Keeps On Truck'n!

Alright bloggers, I know a lot, if not all of you have already heard about another winter storm approaching the area as we head into this weekend. I have your details right here on JIWB. Lets get started.

First off we are in a Winter Storm Watch in effect from late Saturday night through Monday Morning for the entire viewing area!

We are expecting a winter storm packing Ice, Sleet, and Snow, to make its way into the area by as soon as tomorrow evening / night and run through Sunday. We may see a few scattered snow flurries / sleet showers as we head into late tonight however nothing really adding up to much unless you go more north into parts of Newton, or Jasper counties where snowfall around an inch is possible. Our main event will start as we head into Saturday evening / night. Take a look at this surface map below.

This is around 7:am EST Saturday showing that scattered snow / sleet mix to start things. Now take a look at how much things change as we head into Saturday night and into early Sunday morning!

This map is looking into Sunday morning around 7:am EST. You can see that wide area of heavy snow, sleet and freezing rain. This is what we will be watching over the next several hours. Right now the models are having a hard time figuring out where the sleet and snow line will set up. And believe it or not the Bufkit models which are usually pretty good at winter weather forecasting are having trouble as well. Right now I'm thinking that this surface image above is telling the story nicely. Keeping us in that mostly snow event with some sleet possible. I'm not seeing that freezing rain in our area just yet, however it's still to close to totally rule out!

I won't set anything in stone just yet with this outlook tonight as I would like to have a few more model runs under my belt, as data continues to become more clear, However I will still give you a peak into what I'm thinking snowfall - wise.

Again these numbers are far from set in stone! This is just a rough idea as of 6:30pm this evening. As this storm continues to develop I will have a much better grip on the situation and will have more solid data to give you. It's all gonna depend how much of this precipitation falls in the form of snow and how much of it falls as other types such as Sleet and Freezing rain. You can see by this model image below how close we come to sleet / freezing rain.

The weather will be different just a few short miles you travel north or south. A crazy winter storm this one will be! I will continue to keep my eye's to the sky and keep you posted! That's it for now bloggers. Stay Tuned!

Below average temperatures return, Also a look at the potholes developing all over the city!

Cold weather is starting to return to the area after that brief warm up we saw last week. It felt nice while it lasted however now we snap back to winter. Our average high for this time of year is around 35*F degrees, We reached a high last week of 61*F degrees. Our weather is like a rubber band, The more you stretch it away from the normal the harder it snaps back! And that's what we're doing this week. We will be a good 11*F degrees below our average high and a good 13*F to 20*F degrees below our average low at times this week. From one extreme to another. Take a peak at tonight's outlook.

Tonight: We can expect a low around 8*F degrees with light winds between 5 and 10 mph. Skies become partly cloudy as we head into the overnight.

More cold polar air enters the area as we start our work week. We will see highs and lows below our average all week. Hopefully you didn't put away your heavy coats just yet. Winter continues to hold on with a tight grip! Take a look at this temperature model below looking into Monday, You can see that cold air starting to dip back down to Indiana. A sight we've become so familiar with.

As of now we can expect partly cloudy skies across the area as we head into Monday with more clouds moving in as we go through the day into Monday night / Tuesday. Some light snow showers will move into the picture as a small clipper crosses the area late late Monday into Tuesday. Snowfall less than an inch. Expect a low Monday around 14*F degrees with winds between 10 and 15 mph.

Tuesday and Wednesday will be two of the coldest days / night this week. Take a look at these forecast temperatures below.

Yes, break out the warm wool socks and kick on the fireplace! You're gonna need it lol. Look at that expected low Tuesday night of -4*F! Only climbing to a high Wednesday around 10*F degrees. Brrrrrrr is right. Stay warm bloggers!

Now something related to all the cold and snow we have seen this season, Potholes! Yes, believe it or not we have so many potholes in Lafayette, Indiana this year that I just saw Lafayette, Indiana on the weather channel as they were talking about how bad it is. That's crazy! I know crews are out trying to repair them as best as they can with temperatures still being so low. However it's gonna take a while. Teal rd, and 52 are horrible! So why is it that so many potholes develop after the winter? Well, I have your answer!

As seen above, Potholes occur as part of Indiana's freeze and thaw every year. Potholes begin after snow or rain seeps into the soil below the road surface, The moisture then freezes when temperatures fall below freezing, This causes the ground to expand and push up on the pavement. As the temperatures climb back up above freezing as they did last week the ground returns to normal level, However now there is a gap between the pavement and the ground below. Once a car drives over the cavity, the pavement surface cracks and fall into the hollow space leading to the birth of another pothole.

Pretty crazy to think about huh? All we can do is continue to be as careful as possible when driving and try not to damage our Vachel's in the presses! Have a great day bloggers. I'll check back again soon.

God Bless!

After the storm, Reports as windy and chilly weather returns!

Alright, as the storms move out to the east we are finally starting to see the storm reports roll in. High wind reports that is! Lots of wind reports from these storms reaching 50+ and 60+ mph. Take a look at this below.

Remember that these are all (In storm) wind reports. You can see Fountain, county reporting small limbs down from trees along with shingles ripped off the roof, that wind gust was ukn. Another report from Terre Haute, of 60mph, Tipton with a 65mph gust, Boone coming in with a 60mph gust and Logansport, reporting a 58mph gust. I also saw that down around Indianapolis, recorded a peak wind gust of 70mph! And the reports continued to get high the more south you went as that is where the storms were stronger.

Along with all these wind reports in our area there were also 12 Tornadoes reported just to our west in IL. How crazy is that?!?

So why didn't the storms hold together and pose a tornado threat to our area? Well, it's like I said in my brief update around 6:pm. We were unstable however not unstable enough to support tornadoes this time around thank god! I was looking at LI values around 3.0 which isn't hardly unstable, along with Total totals around 46, They need to be around 45 for thunderstorms to form and around 52 or higher to support severe thunderstorms. Also our EHI was only around 0.0 to 0.5 and they need to be around 1.0 to 2.0 to support severe thunderstorms and tornadoes. So unstable we were however not as unstable as IL. As a result the closer the storms go to our area the less severe they became. Not to say they weren't strong! As we can see the wind damage reports above!

So the storms will continue to push off to the east as you can see the line above. And yes that cold front is pushing through dropping temperatures tonight into the upper 20s and giving way to a few possible scattered snow flurries. From one weather event to another, that's how we roll in Indiana :) Here's your Friday break down below.

Friday we can expect a cold start to the morning with a few scattered snow flurries possible before 10:am EST. Skies starting out mostly cloudy will try to break up as the day continues giving way to clearing / partly cloudy skies. Expect a high Friday of 43* degrees and a low that night of 29* degrees. BREEZY with winds between 20 and 25 mph gusting between 30 and 35 mph at times.

Highs will be in the lower 40s on Saturday as well falling into the 30s as we head into next week.

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Flooding will be the next topic! All this melting snow and rain of top of that is causing problems on the rivers. 

The Wabash river is expected to crest Friday night into Saturday at around 18ft, Minor flood stage is at 11.0ft. If you live by the rivers please take note of this and be weather ready! If you see standing water on the roads and are unsure how deep it is please do as the saying goes and "Turn around, Don't Drown". The Wildcat is also being watched closely!

Latest observation of the wildcat creek near Lafayette, it was sitting at a little over 17ft. moderate flood stage starts at 15ft! This is already a problem and all this rain hasn't helped! So again please be aware and stay safe!

That's it for now bloggers. If you have any weather comments and would like to share please feel free to do so, Either in the comments section or on the JIWB facebook 

https://www.facebook.com/pages/Justins-Indiana-Weather-Blog/194210110637780?fref=ts

Have a great night bloggers. God Bless.

Update as of 8:08pm EST

The storms continue to push off to our east at this time. No severe weather was reported in Indiana yet however a lot of Tornadoes were reported with these storms in IL along with winds gusting to 60+ mph. We are looking good right now. I will try to have a more detailed post up soon. Thanks for reading bloggers!

Brow glad to see you back too! ;)