Watching The Line!

Ok, I have gone through the latest data once again and I think I'm ready to let you all in on what we have in store for us weather - wise this weekend! As you already know we have a good size line of storms that has developed along side a strong cold front to our west. This line is what will move into our area by later on tonight closer to 2:am and 3:am give or take a little. You can see the line in this radar image just taken a little bit ago below.
Now currently we are not in the severe weather risk area however it is still very close. Also right now we are rather stable. With Lifted index at +2.5. This is good however models show that this LI number could drop between -1 and -5 by tomorrow AKA Saturday. This would be unstable enough to spark a few strong storms. However with this way things look right now I'm going to keep us in the Scattered to Moderate thunderstorm range. This meaning Scattered thunderstorms however a few stray strong storms cannot be ruled out! Now rainfall will also be something to take note of. As between Saturday and Sunday we could end up with between 1" and 2" inches grand total in many areas.

For now will will continue to watch this developing line and if anything is to change I will be sure to pop in and let you know!

Stay tuned and stay safe! ;)

Developing Story!

I will be here ready to track this next system about to move in over the weekend with you all. I'm about to go through some weather data right now and then I will be back with an update.

So stay tuned and stay storm ready!

I'll check back.....

Strong Storms To The South! 44 Tornadoes & Counting!!

I just checked the latest Bufket weather models and they are telling me that our lifted index has become even more stable then before. They currently stand at +2.7 which is pretty good! Because we had so much cloud cover today we stayed pretty stable. Thank you clouds! :)

Now we are not done yet. We do still have more heavy rain at times on the way through out tonight into tomorrow. Take a look at this radar image taken at 6:58pm EST below.
You can see whats going through right now and then whats still to come. Currently it is looking like we will have a slight break in the rain before the next batch pushes through tonight into tomorrow. Now right now I'm not looking for anything severe with this next batch in our area. Now areas to our south has really had some strong weather to deal with this evening. I have already seen 44 tornadoes reported with this severe weather outbreak today. And some of them worse then others! Take a look at this below...

1 W DURANT, HOLMES, MS.

*** 1 INJ *** MULITPLE CARS BLOWN OFF INTERSTATE 55. UNKNOWN NUMBER OF INJURIES. REPORT RELAYED VIA ATTALA COUNTY EMA.
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EBENEZER, HOLMES, MS.

*** 1 FATAL *** NUMEROUS HOMES SUSTAINED STRUCTURAL DAMAGE. WIDESPREAD TREE DAMAGE. UPDATE...MEMA CONFIRMING 1 FATALITY IN HOLMES COUNTY. (JAN)
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2 N FRENCH CAMP, CHOCTAW, MS.

*** 3 FATAL *** EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS EXTENSIVE DAMAGE IN THE COUNTY. UPDATE...MEMA CONFIRMS 3 FATALITIES IN CHOCTAW COUNTY.
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Be sure to pray for these people!! God bless!! We are lucky on this system. But still more rain / thundershowers on the way.....

I'll check back again if needed.....

Update!

Oak, bloggers here we go! ;) After looking through the latest data this big mess of a system is a BIG heavy storm maker! But the good news for us is we have been pretty stable in our area for the last few hours. Our current lifted index is at +1.0 which is ok. So right now as the storms are moving into our area they are starting to weaken a bit. Not major weakening or anything! But enough. Now we have very high CAPE values and EHI values to our south! This is where they will have some tornado outbreaks. And this is where the National weather service has already put tornado watches into effect. Now yes, we will still continue to watch this system closely just in case something is to change and become a bigger threat! Otherwise here's what we have to watch out for this evening.

Heavy rain at times in storms.

Few gusty winds in storms.

Lightning as always with any storm.

Tornadoes are at around a 5% chance and higher the more south you go. Pretty much from Indianapolis south!
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So scattered to moderate storms this evening. I will not totally rule out a stray strong storm or two as we are under a slight risk for severe! However this is how things look at this time.

I will continue to watch and if anything changes I will be back to let you know!

Stay Tuned.....

Going through the latest as I type. I will check back with a update!



STAY TUNED!