Tuesday, May 31, 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Until 9:32pm EDT

We have a newly issued severe thunderstorm watch in effect for the WLFI viewing area until 9:32pm EDT. Remember in my last post we talked about how there could be a pop up thundershower in the area this afternoon / evening. Well this is what that watch is issued for. Take a look at the radar below. You can see some thundershowers starting to form along that cold front to our west.
We will watch this closely just in case any storms start to become severe. Currently none of these storms to our west are severe warned which is good news! However we are currently unstable enough to support a quick stray strong storm or two within the WLFI viewing area.
Above you can see we are looking at current Lifted Index between -6 and -7 which is rather unstable. Also below we have EHI values around 1 and 2 which would support thunderstorms as well.
So because of this we will continue to watch the data closely overtime along with the radars. If I see any changes I'll be sure to let you know. Also if things get stormy I will be on the Live Chat keeping you posted as well.

Monday, May 30, 2011

A Great Memorial Day Weekend, How Long Will The Heat Last? And What About The Sunny Skies!

That's right, Above is a look at today's satellite. You can see nothing but CLEAR SUNNY SKIES over the area through out the whole day! B-E-A-Utiful outside for sure. A little hot however that didn't stop me from a 2.5 mile run around armstrong pond. 91.4* degrees is what I have recorded as a high in the Lafayette, area. It was 90.7* while I was out on my run. You gotta have FFF, "Faith, Focus, Finish!" You can't let the weather stop you from your goals. :)

And it wasn't just a beautiful day this afternoon but also yesterday for the 100th running of the Indianapolis 500! I recorded a high yesterday of 83.3* degrees and partly cloudy skies across the area. I enjoyed spending time with the family having a cookout while listening to the race on radio.
You can see that your's truly was on grill duty lol. The menu included: Ribs, Hamburgers, Hotdogs, and two kinds of Brats! Beer, and cheese.Yummmmm, And not to forget that Indy Car cake you can find in my older post. That was gone in a matter of a few hours.
We also had a bit of a ping pong competition going on in the garage after the cookout. My uncle and myself started things off with some speed pong. Needless to say we could both have used a bit of practice. lol. Ping pong isn't my sport. I'm a much better Short Stop! ;) It was even better sitting aside watching my sister and aunt go at it. Take a look at the focus on my aunts face.
My sister in the left picture. And my aunt on the right.

I don't think they hit the ball onto the table once! lol. Everywhere else in the garage the ball was bouncing like crazy. So it was very entertaining, I'll give it that! ;)

So the next question is, "How long will these 90s last along with the sunny skies?". Well, I have your answer!
Above is a look at the surface chart for tomorrow morning (Tuesday) around 8:am EDT. Right now it's looking like a day of Mostly sunny skies to Partly cloudy skies across the area. However with that cold front you see off to our west we cannot rule out the slight chance of a few pop up scattered thundershowers within the area. Also we will see a backdoor cold front move through, However it's not gonna cool us any!
You can see in this surface chart above looking at 8:pm EDT that evening, The cold front that is to our west starts getting closer to the area bringing the better chance for a few more pop up scattered thundershowers in the area. This is around a 30% chance. Here's your Tuesday weather break down below.

Quick Cast.....

Tuesday we will look for mostly sunny skies to partly cloudy skies across the area. With a weak cold front moving in from the west we will have to keep in the slight chance of a few pop up hit and miss scattered thundershowers in the area. Expect a high once again in the low 90s around 92* degrees. With a low that night around 65* degrees. It will be breezy with winds between 20 and 25 mph. A few gusts could reach 28 mph possible.

Extended Outlook.
The cold front that will move through the area tomorrow (Tuesday) won't cool us off very much. We will drop to a high on both Wednesday and Thursday in the upper 80s however I see 90s back by this weekend!
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So the heat is here for a little while! That means you have two options. #1) Get the sun screen out and use it well! Also enjoy the A/C.

Or option #2) Get the swim suite out and soak up the rays, Take the heat in stride and work on that tan! ;) Just do it safely!

Also during this heat please don't leave pets in cars! It get dangerously HOT this time of year. It could kill them in no time. Cars reach temperatures ((well over)) 100* degrees. Always keep fresh cool water for your pets as well as for yourself.

So stay safe and God Bless!
Happy Memorial Day!

Happy Memorial Day.. New Post Up Later On Tonight!

Happy Memorial Day everyone!

I have a new post coming your way tonight talking about yesterday's weather along with pictures from our family cookout. It should be a lot of fun!

Still expect a hot day this afternoon with highs in the low 90s! Remember to thank all who have served this country and are serving on not just today but everyday! God Bless all the men and women.

Have a great day bloggers...

Saturday, May 28, 2011

Your Race Day And Memorial Day Forecast.

I have your Race Day Forecast as well as your Memorial Day forecast all ahead on JIWB! So lets go ahead and get right to it.
Above is a look at your Sunday morning surface chart at around 8:00am EDT. You can see we will be tracking a warm front pushing through the area that will really warm things up, and FAST. I'm looking at highs pushing the low 90s tomorrow as the race gets underway. Here's a little greater detail on the Race Day forecast below.
You can see I'm looking for a high around 87* degrees maybe even the low 90s are possible! I do have a slight 20% chance of a quick brief showers in the morning hours however that is a slight chance and I do not expect it to last all day! I think we will see dry weather for the race and for any cookouts that may be going on in the area. It should turn out to be a nice day weather - wise and otherwise!

If you think Sunday looks hot above, then just wait til you see Mondays forecast! Yes, Memorial Day is looking even hotter.
That's right I'm calling for a high in the low 90s around 93* degrees. With lots of Mostly Sunny skies across the area. This will be perfect weather to honer all the fallen soldiers! Here's the final weather break down in your Quick Cast below.

Quick Cast.....

Sunday (Race Day) we will keep a slight 20% chance of a brief showers in the area during the morning hours however things should clear out nicely during the afternoon hours with partly cloudy skies and a high around 87* degrees. A low that night only dropping to 65* degrees. Winds between 10 and 15 mph gusting between 20 and 25 mph possible.

Monday (Memorial Day) We will look for a hot dry day. Lots of mostly sunny skies across the area with a high around 93* degrees. Expect a low that night around 69* degrees. Winds between 10 and 20 mph with a few gusts to 25 mph possible.
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I'm looking forward to spending the day with the family tomorrow enjoying the weather and an awesome cookout as always! Also I made a little something for Race Day, Take a look.
lol, I guess you could say that cake it kind of a specialty of mine! This whole thing is edible. The car is made out of rice crispy treat covered with icing then a layer of fondant. It is all have painted with edible marker. Google Danica Patrick's 2011 Indy car and you'll see it looks pretty close. Not spot on but pretty close.
So a cookout with the family is what I'm doing tomorrow! What about you?

I hope everyone has a great Memorial Day Weekend.
Take care bloggers. And as always God Bless.

Update As Of 5:27pm EDT

As expected the national weather service did in fact issue that severe thunderstorm warning got southern Fountain and south East Montgomery county. This warning is in effect until 6:pm EDT and was issued because of possible quarter sized hail inside the storm!

The rest of the viewing area is looking WET but good. I'm gonna go get a few things done and then I'll be back here later on tonight with a look at your Race Day forecast!

Check Back!
Right now the only area I would expect to see a severe thunderstorm warning pop up in the WLFI viewing area would be in the Fountain, and Montgomery, county areas. And again this would be for possible large hail. You can see the warning box just west of Fountain, county in the map above. This is the warning I would expect to be extended to the viewing area if any!

Update!

The left of this image is the radar. Storms moving from West To East. The right of the image shows the possible hail inside these thunderstorms. As you can see it is very little if any! This would be pea sized or smaller! No severe thunderstorm warnings with these storms moving through the WLFI viewing area currently which is good news. I'll keep watching and keep you posted as needed if there are any changes!

Looking Up, But Watching Closely.

As expected the closer these storms are getting to home the more they start to weaken. As they move closer to our more stable air they start to lose the fuel needed and start dying. As usual I will be keeping a watch just in case. However things are looking up at this point!

If we do happen to see a stray strong storm make it into the viewing area I would still expect the main threat of it to be hail.
The radar image below showing the storms inside the yellow circle is starting to weaken a bit. Echo tops have started falling from 50,000ft to 40,000ft. And I'm no longer seeing ping pong ball sized hail. However it is still currently a severe thunderstorm so we will be watching it closely as it co0ntinues to move closer.
The severe thunderstorm warning that was in the Fountain, county area has been allowed to expire. The next batch of possible severe storms I'm watching are just to the left of the above image still in the IL, area. Again the main threat with these storms are hail. The severe thunderstorm watch box you see in the left of this image was issued because radars show the chance of these storms producing possible ping pong ball sized hail in areas! 
Severe thunderstorm Watch is in effect Until 9:24pm EDT

INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL

CLINTON FOUNTAIN

MONTGOMERY

TIPPECANOE WARREN
This severe thunderstorm Watch is in effect because of all the scattered storms you see in the image above off to our west in areas of IL. some of these cells do have severe thunderstorm warnings with them. However the only type of storm reports I have recived out of these cells has been hail anywhere between 1.00" inch to 1.75" inches in size. So we will continue to watch as they move closer and I'll keep you all posted as needed.
The only severe thunderstorm warned cell in the WLFI viewing area is the one you see above.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

FOUNTAIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...

NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...

 

SOUTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...
* UNTIL 345 PM EDT






Developing Race Day Forecast!

I will have a post looking into your race day forecast up and ready for reading soon! Be sure to check back for it! You don't wanna miss out! ;)

It's a good post! :)

Thursday, May 26, 2011

Patchy Fog And High Rivers For Friday Morning!

Hey bloggers. First off I wanted to go ahead and point out that I did change the Live chat a bit. It is no longer a pop up page. This is because I had to switch to a different live chat server. One that was better for everyone. This way we will no longer have to worry about spaming on the live weather chats! I have had a bit of a spaming problem here on the blog lately so this should help out in the long run. I hope everyone is okay with it! Everyone can still feel free to come here and chat live about any weather event that is going on in your area. I will be on the live chats as needed during severe weather events. But feel free to talk with other weather bloggers anytime! :)

Now back to the weather. What your looking at in this map above is all the light blue colors! This is nothing but Flood warnings all across the area. And they're in effect for good reason. After all the rain we seen during the storms yesterday and the scattered showers / thundershowers we seen earlier this afternoon, we picked up well over three inches of rainfall!
You can click this image above to enlarge. Above is a look at where the Wabash river currently stands and where it is expected to crest by tomorrow morning. Currently the Wabash river is sitting at 17.9ft. It is expected to crest tomorrow morning at around 8:am EDT at a high 19.9ft. This will be a good 8.9ft above flood stage! If you live by the rivers or know anyone who does please take note of this and stay weather ready! Never drive through flooded roads. Remember the saying "Turn around don't drown".

The other thing we will be watching tomorrow morning other then the rivers will be the chance for some patchy fog in the area.
With temperatures and dew points being only a degree or two apart at this time Fog becomes a real possibility! So just allow a little extra time to get where you need to be as you head out in the morning. Better to be safe then sorry!
Otherwise tomorrow we will look for partly cloudy skies with cooler highs in the area as that cold front continues to push off to our east. I'm looking for a high tomorrow in the upper 60s / low 70s. Models are showing highs right around 69* degrees. Winds light between 3 and 5 mph.

Also for the warm weather lovers I'm looking for highs pushing the low 90s by as soon as Race Day! Yes, a hot hot Sunday is looking to be forecast. I will try to keep you posted on that as well.

That's it for now. Take care and God Bless!

Wednesday, May 25, 2011

Looking Much Better!

You can see the storms are just finishing going through the Carroll, county area up around Delphi and then they will be out of the Viewing area! All that is left to our west is the thundershowers which currently have no warned cells! Great news!

However this makes flooding a threat as we head into the overnight. So if you live by the rivers you may want to take note of this over the next few days.

The next batch of showers / thunderstorms will be tomorrow.
You can see that off to our west in the yellow that will make its was east into the viewing area. However the good news is at this time I'm not looking for anything like what we just seen today and or tonight. So that's good news! Here's a look at the severe weather threat for tomorrow (Thursday) below.
That's right! All the severe weather is expected to be off to our east as this line continue to push off east. So great news for the WLFI viewing area! So thunderstorms tomorrow possible however not expecting severe thunderstorms!

And last but not least I want to give a BIG thank you to all the JIWB weather bloggers who stayed calm during the storms and kept updating everyone on the JIWB weather chat! That was great to see. I'm glad everyone stayed safe and glad everyone had fun! lol ;)

So take care and God Bless!

I'll check back if needed.
Storms are just about out of the Viewing aera They are through Frankfort, going through Delphi, and heading toward Flora.

I have three hail reports all from the Lafayette, area of hail 1" inch size!
Of your in Clinton, county around Frankfort, then be on guard because there could be a few brief rain wrapped tornadoes inside some of these thunderstorms. You can see some of those bright reds and greens mixed in the image to the right!
If your from Lafayette west then your in the clear! Just some thundershowers as there are currently no warned cells. If your from Lafayette east in areas of Clinton, Carroll, and counties around there then you can epxect small hail and gusty winds of 50+ mph. Along with possible brief rain wrapped tornadoes not out of the question!
Still some rotation being picked up just south of Shadeland and Dayton.

Stay in your safe spot!
Lafayette is looking better rotation wise! Rotation in Montgomery county. Straight line winds in Tippy!

Rotation just south of shadeland moving north east! SAFE SPOT IF IN THIS Area!!




Rotation just south of Lafayette! Safe spots are a good idea!
Main line is getting ready to move through the Lafayette area. Also Montgomery county! as well as White county. We can expect Straight line winds of 50+ 60+ mph with small hail possible!
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...



BOONE COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...


CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA...


EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL CLAY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...


CLINTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...


SOUTHEASTERN FOUNTAIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...


HENDRICKS COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...


WESTERN HOWARD COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...


MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...


EASTERN PARKE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...


PUTNAM COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...


TIPPECANOE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...






* UNTIL 1015 PM EDT
Lots of possible rotation just southwest of Montgomery county! Watching closely. Storms moving north north east!
Still picking up what could be brief rain wrapped tornadoes to our west moving north east heading toward Tippecanoe, county. We will all need to be on our guard!

Tornado warnings will be issued soon!
Any rain wrapped tornadoes would be within the yellow area in this map above!
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...


NORTH CENTRAL CLAY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...

FOUNTAIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...

MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...

PARKE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...

PUTNAM COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...

TIPPECANOE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...

VERMILLION COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...

NORTHEASTERN VIGO COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...

WARREN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...



* UNTIL 1015 PM EDT


Even if not brief rain wrapped tornadoes we are still looking at straight line winds of 60+ mph with this line! And sometime straight line winds can be just as dangerous as a weak tornado!
You can see inside that yellow mark in the image above. This is where all the tornado warnings are issued because of dangerous straight line winds and possible "Brief" rain wrapped tornadoes!
As expected that line is getting closer and the tornado warning are starting to reach the WLFI vieiwng area. These storms have the chance to give way to brief rain wrapped tornadoes and straight line winds!

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...



VEEDERSBURG AND COVINGTON AROUND 920 PM EDT...


HILLSBORO AROUND 925 PM EDT...


NEWTOWN...ATTICA AND MELLOTT AROUND 930 PM EDT...
TORNADO WARNING FOR...

FOUNTAIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...

 

NORTHEASTERN WARREN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...

* UNTIL 945 PM EDT




The yellow area is the scattered severe thunderstorms out in front of this main event line to our west. This line is the main round of storms we will be watching like crazy!


These storms could give way to high damageing winds and large hail!
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

FOUNTAIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...

 

WARREN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...

* UNTIL 1000 PM EDT



* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

SOUTHEASTERN IROQUOIS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

BENTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST INDIANA...

SOUTHERN JASPER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST INDIANA...

SOUTHERN NEWTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST INDIANA...

* UNTIL 900 PM CDT/1000 PM EDT/














Click the image to enlarge.

You can see the line moving in from our west in this image, To the left is the line on radar. And the rotation map on the right. All the reds and greens mixed is what could be brief rain wrapped tornadoes.

This is what we will be watching closely!
You can see all the reds mixed with the greens on this map above. That is showing the spin in these storms and is where possible rain wrapped tornadoes could be on the IL, IN, state line. This is what we will be watching for as they continue to move closer to the viewing area!
That line of storms to our west continues to get closer and so does the tornado warnings along with it! We will watch the storms closely as they have had a history of producing tornadoes!

That severe thunderstorm that is heading toward Shadeland and Lafayette, as well as West Lafayette, has weakened a bit however is still warned with pea sized hail possible.