Saturday, May 1, 2010

Lots Of Strong Storms To Watch Tonight!

Ok we are watching the next line of storms about to effect the WLFI viewing area later tonight very closely! These storms have the ability to be strong at time as they make their way across the WLFI viewing area. Now right now I'm looking for them to start in sometime closer / around 1:00am EST this morning. Pretty much close to the time the storms started last night.

Now after going through our current data we are looking at current Lifted Index around +2.7 which is pretty stable for now. However things like Total total index, and K-index, is showing a good chance of 60% or higher for some scattered to moderate thunderstorms to effect the area later on tonight. So even though we are in a slight risk for severe weather unlike last night I'm still kinda calling for the same thing. Scattered to moderate thunderstorms however a few stray strong to severe storms cannot be ruled out! Take a look at this radar image taken at 11:00pm EST below.

We have three lines of storms however I have marked the one that we will be tracking closely over the next few hours. This line is still looking pretty fired up as I type. However if we continue to stay with Lifted index of +2 and higher then we should start to see these weaken a bit as they get closer. However some models are pointing to our Lifted index dropping between -2.90 and -4.50 as the night continues. This is why we have to watch this system very closely! So for now let me go ahead and post what some of our biggest storm threats will be tonight.....

Storm Threats!

Wind..... Winds could gust between 30 and 35 mph. Wind threat is between 15% and 30% chance.

Lightning..... Lightning is a threat with any thunderstorm. Stay away from windows.

Hail..... Hail is not looking like a big threat at this time. Currently only around a 15% chance.

Tornadoes..... Tornadoes are a threat with storms such as what is going on to the south of us as I type. However I'm currently looking for the biggest threat to stay to our south and west tonight. We currently look at around a 5% chance.

Heavy Rainfall..... Heavy rainfall is also something to watch. We could pick up yet another half inch to three quarters of an inch before all is said and done on top of what we already have! With locally higher amounts in areas possible.
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So for now I will continue to watch this line of storms very closely and if anything is to change I will be sure to let you know as soon as I can!

Also the National weather service has gone ahead and put a few tornado watches into effect for parts of the WLFI viewing area. Here are the Indiana counties under this watch below.....

TORNADO WATCH 129 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS


. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BOONE BROWN
CARROLL CLAY CLINTON
CRAWFORD DAVIESS DECATUR
DELAWARE DUBOIS FOUNTAIN
GIBSON GREENE HAMILTON
HANCOCK HARRISON HENDRICKS
HENRY HOWARD JACKSON
JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX
LAWRENCE MADISON MARION
MARTIN MONROE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN ORANGE OWEN
PARKE PERRY PIKE
POSEY PUTNAM RANDOLPH
RUSH SHELBY SPENCER
SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE TIPTON
VANDERBURGH VERMILLION VIGO
WARREN WARRICK WASHINGTON

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Again ..... We can expect scattered to moderate thunderstorms through out tonight into early Sunday with a few stray strong storms not out of the question! So remember to stay tuned and stay safe!

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

WOW !!!!!! THANK YOU JUSTIN, THIS ONE HAS ME WORRIED!!! NOT GOING TO GET MUCH SLEEP TONIGHT I AM SURE!

PLEASE KEEP US POSTED.

TERI