Saturday, October 13, 2012

Weekend Autumn Storm. Gusty Winds Could Be A Threat

We have a chance at some autumn storms in the forecast for later tonight into Sunday. Not looking for anything severe however some strong winds will be something to watch. What we are tracking is a strong low pressure system out to our west. It is pulling in a lot of mild air from our south. This is why we will be in the 70s as our high tomorrow. On the back side of this low we have that cold front which will allow for some scattered showers / thundershowers to pop up in the area. Take a look at what I'm talking about below.
This image above is out of the national weather service. A look at our current surface chart. You can see the low pressure system I'm talking about right in the middle of this chart.
 
We we move continue through the afternoon our chances of some scattered showers in the area will increase. Here is what things are expected to look like later this evening around 8:pm EDT below.
You can see that warm front makes its way through the state of Indiana keeping us moist and mild. A few scattered hit and miss showers will be possible during this time. Still our real shot at the heavier rainfall will be later on tonight into Sunday.
 
Here's a look at the surface chart at 8:am EDT Sunday.
The cod front nears the area bringing all that rainfall along with it. Right now I'm expecting rainfall Sunday to be around a quarter inch however we can expect rainfall closer to a half inch possibly three quarters of an inch in some areas that actually see thunderstorms. Still the main thing I'm watching with this system is wind.
Take a look at how tightly packed the isobars are in this GFS model above! This is a sure sign of high gusty winds with this system. Even the bufkit data is pointing to winds easily gusting to 38 near 40 mph possible. So get your anemometers out and ready to measure the winds. I'm expected to see how high these winds get across the area.
 
So here's your forecast in greater detail below.
 
Today I expect us to see mostly cloudy skies across the area with a high around 67*  degrees. Slight chance of a few hit and miss showers in the area out ahead of the front. Low tonight around 61* degrees. Winds between 15 and 20 mph picking up during the night time hours gusting between 25 and 28 mph.
 
Sunday we will see scattered rain / thundershowers across the area as that low pressure system moves through the area. Rainfall around a quarter inch. Expect higher amounts in thunderstorms. Winds will be breezy between 15 and 20 mph gusting to 28 and 38 mph. Look for a mild high around 75* degrees and a low that night around 44* degrees.
 
Monday is looking much better with a high around 61* degrees. Maybe a few early morning clouds however skies will clear and become partly cloudy through out the day. Look for a low Monday night around 39* degrees.
 
Here's another look at our Sunday storm threats below.
That's it for now bloggers. Don't forget to check out this inspiring blog below I think you might enjoy! Have a wonderful day. God Bless.
 
 

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