Saturday, December 19, 2009

Snowflakes Fall From The Sky Above! While I'm Still Watching The CHRISTmas Forecast!!

Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow!! Yes, we are on the look out for snow flakes falling from the sky above. But how much could we see when all is said and done? I have your answer!



We are watching this Alberta clipper system move in from our north and west. Now usually Alberta clippers don't give us much in the way of big snow accumulations. Usually between 1" and 3" inches. Sometimes four inches. However this time around I don't think we will break no four inches. But more around that inch and a half near two inches mark if things go as planed. Take a look at this snowfall map below.
You can see I keep the better chance at the 1" to 3" inches to our south near the Indy area and then to the south and east of there. Also I have a 1" to 3" inch band well to our north around Gary, Indiana. This is because of Lake Effect snow bands. Then I think to our west as this system moves in areas of IL, could have already picked up near that 1" to 3" inch mark. Most of the WLFI viewing area I have in that 1" to 2" inch band. This is the range I'm calling for. However I don't think we will see over 2" inches. Most should stay around that inch and a half give or take a little.



Still this is enough to make driving difficult! And I know I do this every time it snows but I'm going to post more Winter Driving Safety Tips here in just a minute! You can never be to safe when it comes to slick roads and driving that's for sure!



We will look for winds to be blowing between 10 and 15 mph today. Highs today will reach into the low 30s around that freezing mark. Lows will fall into the low to middle 20s. We will look for another small Alberta clipper to try and move in Sunday into Monday however I don't look for much with that system at this time. Maybe less then a quarter inch.
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Now I know everyone is ready for the full detailed forecast for Christmas! It's less then a week away right? Well, I will say that the models are still full of one thing! And that one thing looks a lot like this "??????????????????????????????????" If that tells you anything. The good news for snow lovers and all who want a white Christmas is the low pressure is moving more to the north then what models showed us last week. Remember when I told you all that sometime these systems like to move a good 100 to 200 miles to the north and west then what models show? Well that is just what's happening! So will we see precipitation? Yes, I think that's a safe bet at this time. Will it all fall in the form of snow? That's the question! See the MOS models are calling for temperatures to be to warm to start things. As well as a few other of my models. However the MOS temperature models have been running a few degrees above what the real time temperature has been hitting. Between 3 and 5 degrees above the real time temperature. And it is still around a week away. However I'm not ruling out a white Christmas at all at this time! And I will still keep it a good 50% chance!!!!! (I still like our chances) The only thing we can do now is focus on this snow we have today and keep watching things closely around the Christmas forecast!



I will have more details on this coming real soon! ((Count on it))



WINTER DRIVING SAFETY TIPS!

Don't try to pass snowplows and trucks - They have limited visibility so while you may see them, they might not see you.

Do not use cruise control - When tires slip, they will accelerate and you can lose control of your car. You want to be in full control whenever possible.


Check your tires - You should check the tire pressure and tire condition regularly. Tires lose air every month regularly, and they'll lose even more during the winter months. By keeping your tires in good condition, they'll provide extra traction, reduce stopping distance, and even save a little gas.

And make sure you have good tires, too! - Winter driving calls for winter tires, or maybe, some very good all-season tires. And don't waste time or money with cheap, low-quality tires that don't last too long. It's better to get high-quality tires, even if they cost more, because they will prove themselves through better traction on the roads and more durability over time.


Have a cellphone or other communications device - Bring one if you have one. Incase you find yourself in an emergency, it's good to have a cellphone so you can call the police, an ambulance, or someone you know as soon as possible (if you're in an area with service). In Ontario, dialing *OPP will connect you to the nearest Ontario Provinicial Police communications center.

Driving in bad, wintery weather conditions can be hard and treacherous, regardless of the technology on your car or even your driving skill. Be careful and be safe when driving on snowy and icy roads. It is best not to drive in such conditions, as it can be very dangerous. But if you must, follow these tips!


I'll check back soon...


Stay Tuned!