Tuesday, June 15, 2010

Strong Stuff May Stay South!

Radar image taken at 6:20pm EDT...
We have so many severe thunderstorm warnings out with this system currently just starting to make it's way over the Indiana state line it's not even funny! But I have gone through the latest weather data and here's what I came up with!

We are still looking at lifted index at -1.8 and models are expecting them to fall just a little more between -2 and -3. Yes, this is still unstable enough to support these severe thunderstorms! Now I have also gone over the CAPE values and the EHI. They are both showing the worst to possibly stay from Tippecanoe county south. Now I'm not saying we won't see a stray strong storm or two as that is still very possible! But even looking at the radars right now the real strong stuff is staying south of Montgomery county! This is good news for the Viewing area.

Still we can expect to see moderate to heavy rainfall along with a few gusty winds between 30 and 40 mph possible. Flooding will be a threat! And frequent lightning!

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