Saturday, October 23, 2010

Critical Fire Weather Again Today! **Red Flag Warning**

The fire weather watch has been updated to a Red Flag Warning for the following counties below. Take a look.
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
Remember your fire safety and stay safe bloggers!

So what about the rain we was talking about in the last post for today? Well, it's looking like a "Slight" chance at this time! yesterday we was looking at around a 35% to 40% chance however that has dropped to around 15% to 20% chance. Take a look why I say this below.

This is a precipitation model at 2:00pm EDT this afternoon. You can see that line of blue , And green moving in close to home. this model along with two others are showing this rainfall staying in our northern counties for the most part and also just to our west as seen above. Does this mean I'm ruling rain out for today totally? Not really, Because these models are showing this line of rain which is just a projected model I might add! And it's so close to home, I'm going to keep that 15% to 20% chance in! Because some stray scattered showers cannot be ruled out with this line so close above. So why did the rain chance fall? Well, the reason the rain won't get to us as fast as expected is because of a slow moving front! Yes, I'm talking about a stationary front!
You see the red and blue front to the north of Indiana in this prog chart above? Well, this is a prog chart image for 2:00pm EDT this afternoon. This front stalling out will keep us with less rainfall if any for yet another day. If we do see any rainfall today I think it would be really light hit and miss scattered And later on this evening / tonight into Sunday. Sunday and Monday bring the better chances of rain this week! And I'll have more on that soon.

Today we can expect to see the winds pick up between 15 and 20 mph with gusts between 25 and 30 mph possible. Temperatures will be above average for the next few days in the low to middle 70s. However as we head into the middle of next week highs will fall back into the 50s! And more rain chances move into the forecast.

so lots to talk about and forecast next week. Until then have a great weekend!

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Thanks Justin, the radar is really lit up to the west. Feels balmy out this morn :)

Have a great weekend!

Teri