The Final Break Down Before The Storm!

Well, after going through the latest weather data it looks like a few things have changed! For better or worse? Well, not really for the better. Here's what we have to expect tomorrow weather - wise.

First off you see we have changed to a Wind Advisory at this time. This advisory is for the whole WLFI viewing area. Almost all of Indiana. This is in effect from 8:am to 8:pm EDT Tuesday.

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Tuesday aka Tomorrow, I'm expecting to see the rain / thunderstorms start in between 7:00AM and 8:00am EDT. We can expect Rain and thunderstorms through out much of the day do to this strong low pressure system and a strong cold front that will push through the area. This strong cold front will allow for a strong squall line of rain and thunderstorms to develop across the area as seen in this forecast radar image below.

This is when we will be watching the radar closely!! Right now Lafayette, is right on the line of the slight risk and moderate risk for severe weather come tomorrow. The moderate risk for severe weather has been put into effect do to all the strong winds that will come with this strong cold front. With winds this high they alone can be very dangerous! Sometimes straight line winds can be just as bad as a small tornado! If you can stay home tomorrow then I would do so. Winds like this can take out power and take down small limbs. We are talking winds between 25 and 30 mph gusting between 35 and 45 mph some could gust higher in wide open areas.

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Still the weather models are showing EHI around 1 and 2 which is what you usually need to see basic thunderstorms. CAPE values are still low which is good. And helicity is still around 350 to 400. Which is right on the line of basic to severe thunderstorms. This along with the high damaging winds is what the main severe weather threat is all about. With this being said I still will not rule out the chance for a stray strong storm or two along this squall line at this time.

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Now rain - wise we can expect to see rainfall between .25" and .50" inches with locally higher amounts in areas near .75". So here's the weather break down below.

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Rain / thunderstorms start around 7:am or 8:am EDT.

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Rainfall between .25" - .50" inches with locally higher amounts in areas.

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Winds will be between 25 - 30 mph gusting between 35 - 45 mph.

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Main Storm Threat.

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High gusty damaging winds is NUMBER #1!! Straight line winds can be just as dangerous as a small tornado.

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A stray strong storm along the squall line cannot be ruled out.

Lightning is a threat with thunderstorms.

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These winds will continue into Wednesday as we will see them between 25 and 30 mph. A gusty few days that for sure!

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Now the only way I will not be updating through the storms is if power happens to go out. Just going ahead and giving you all that heads up! Until tomorrow lets all get some rest and be up and ready to track first thing in the morning! ;) We have done the forecast so now all we can do is wait and then track the real deal.

Oh, and if any of you get pictures feel free to send them in at storm18mini@aol.com and I'll see what I can do. Thanks!

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See you then!