Monday, October 25, 2010

Wet, Windy, Stormy, Weather Is On The Way.

Well, bloggers we have some fun weather to track on the way by as soon as tonight! But first off lets start by looking at the High Wind Watch that has been put into effect for the WHOLE WLFI viewing area! Take a look below.
Yes I'm expecting to see winds through out Tuesday between 25 and 30 mph gusting as high as 45 mph possible! This high wind watch will be in effect from now through Tuesday afternoon.

A High wind watch means...
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.


IMPACTS: HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR STRONG
WINDS AND EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. ANY OUTDOOR ITEMS
THAT MAY BE EASILY BE BLOWN ABOUT SHOULD BE SECURED.


This is no joke! winds will be blowing like crazy Tuesday. If you can stay off busy highways then do so! Winds like this can push your car all over the road. But wind won't be the only thing going on tomorrow!That's right rain and thunderstorms as well. Just look at this precipitation model above. This is a STRONG low pressure system that will impact many states Tuesday. Some areas will see training rain / thunderstorms tomorrow. Some areas severe thunderstorms will be possible. Now the storm predication center has us in the slight risk for severe weather at this time and yes, I do see the chance for some stray strong storms to move through parts of the WLFI viewing area. However I think the the best chance for more wide spread severe weather would be in the KY, and TN, areas at this time.

Now CAPE values are not that high along with the EHI models only pointing to basic thunderstorms for our area. However the Helicity values are HIGH! Our area or should I say the WLFI viewing area is looking at Helicity values between 350 and 400. What's this mean? Well 400 to 500 is usually needed to produce severe thunderstorms. We are really close! So a stray strong storm or two cannot be ruled out just yet! Now the more south you go the higher the Helicity values get! In areas like KY, and TN, the helicity values are between 450 and 600!! Which is why I made that area the better area to see more wide spread severe weather as seen below.But again that doesn't mean we're out of the woods. We will just have to keep a close eye on the radars and watch this thing as it moves in.

Now also in the Tuesday evening prog chart above you can see the nice cold front! This will cool us off into the 50s as our highs come Wednesday! Fall is here!

So tonight... We can expect to see partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies. Winds will slowly start to pick up as the night persists. Lows will be in the middle 50s.

Tuesday... We will see winds picking up to 25 and 30 mph gusting between 40 and 45 mph possible. Highs will be in the upper 60s around 67* degrees. Rainy / Windy, along with some scattered thunderstorms. A stray strong storm or two cannot be ruled out just yet! Rainfall currently expected to be between .25" and .50" inches with locally higher amounts in areas possible. Expect brief "HEAVY" downpours at times! Lows will be in the low 60s to upper 50s.

Stay tuned! I have a lot of work I need to get done today but I will be back tonight with any details that may have changed!

Be sure to check back.