Saturday, March 1, 2014

Latest as of 8:pm EST Snow storm is right on our door step!

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Not a whole lot has changed in the past few hours when it comes to the snowfall amounts bloggers. Timing is a little slower then expected, Snow showers are just starting to enter northern Newton, and Jasper counties. We should see some snow showers around here (Lafayette) later on tonight. This low pressure system that is producing this monster of a winter storm is pushing so much moisture into this system. Take a look at this!
This is a water vapor map showing you that low pressure system off the west coast, Just look at how much moisture we will have to work with during this storm! Just crazy! This is why so many forecasters have had a problem figuring out how much snowfall we will see. Trying to figure out where the main moisture will see up along that freeze line!

The snow is already building and moving into the area as I mentioned above. Take a look at how many states are being affected by this beast!
Now that this system is on our door step I feel like the bufkit models and the MOS models finally have a pretty good handle on it. Most of my data is pointing me into a 4" to 6" inch range for much of the viewing area. A few spots of Isolated 7" inches. Take a look at the bufkit model below.
Bufkit has been calling for 3" to 4" inches for the past 3 days or so. And it's usually pretty good when it comes to winter weather. Also the MOS models on the QPF are showing a 1 for tonight and a 2 for tomorrow, Which would mean between tonight and tomorrow snowfall totals between 4" and 6" inches. At this time I'm thinking we have about a 50% chance of 5" to 6" inches when all is said and done.
Here's my thinking above. A wide area of 4" to 6" inches however a few areas of Isolated 7" inches cannot totally be ruled out. Most picking up between 4" and 6". I'd say we have about a 70% to 80% chance of at least 4" inches of snowfall.

Here's the break down below.
 1:am EST Sunday above. Heavy snow stretches across the area with snow / sleet mix around Indianapolis and south. Freezing rain becomes problem south of Indy.
Snow showers will go into Sunday morning / early afternoon before starting to tapper off as we head into the afternoon hours. Still scattered light flurries as we head into Sunday evening. Expect a low tonight COLD around 9* degrees, High tomorrow (Sunday) around 15* degrees with a low Sunday night around 1* degree! Very cold!

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That's it for now bloggers. Stay tuned and stay safe! Here's a link to the National weather service for the latest on the current winter weather watches, warnings, and advisories!

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ind/

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