Sunday, November 25, 2012

Snow Details For Indiana. Talking About Climate Prediction And The Farmers Almanac!

It is almost December and we have still yet to see any real snow in the area. Sure we had that trace of snow earlier in the month in the early morning hours, however no real accumulating snowfall. We keep going back and forth between cold temperatures and mild temperatures. Right now we are again stuck in the 30s and 40s however another ridge of warmer air is in the forecast for this weekend. This is the kind of weather that gets people sick, That quick temperature change so often. I'm ready for us to start leveling out temperature - wise. The NAO and AO models are showing us to be in a neutral phase as we head into December 10th before trying to go negative again after the 10th. We will continue to watch this. I'm trying to find snow somewhere in the forecast bloggers! Its just not showing up yet lol. Here's what the farmers almanac is forecasting below.
(Click Picture To Enlarge)
What do you think of this outlook? It is the farmers almanac, so its more of a rough draft of a forecast. However some choose to stick by it! Whats your take? The next 8 to 14 days the climate prediction center has us in above average temperatures. So they seem to think a mild start to December!?! This is another thing we will have to keep a watch on.
We do have another cold front making its way closer to the area. It will push through later on this evening / tonight into Monday. Lows tonight will fall into the middle 20s around 26* degrees.
Make sure to dress very warm if you gotta head outdoors this evening.
Remember how I said I was looking for some snow somewhere in the forecast? Well, I managed to find a few models that pointed to a real slight chance of a few light scattered snow flurries in the area by later Monday morning. Its only a 10% to 20% chance, but hey its something lol.
Most of us won't see anything out of this as its going to be really light. The farther south you go the better chance of seeing snow flurries you have. Still I cannot rule out a few in our area.
Here's a look at your forecast break down.
TONIGHT- we will see partly cloudy skies through out the area as a cold front starts to push through. A low tonight around 26* degrees. Winds light between 5 and 10 mph. Wind chill between 15* and 19* degrees.
MONDAY- we will start off the day cloudy with a real slight chance between 10% and 20% of a few light scattered snow flurries in the early morning hours. Otherwise becoming mostly to partly cloudy across the area. Winds light between 5 and 10 mph. High around 40* degrees with a low that night around 22* degrees. Nightly wind chill between 10* and 15* degrees.
TUESDAY- we will see a high around 37* degrees with partly cloudy to mostly clear skies across the area. Low around 23* degrees.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK- we will be watching for yet another ridge of warmer air to develop and move into the area by this weekend. Highs will be back in the 40s and 50s. Until then we will see highs in the 30s and 40s for the rest of the week with lows in the 20s and 30s.

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