Wind advisory in effect with snow in the forecast.

That's right, we have another wind advisory in effect for the area until 9:pm EST this evening. we will be tracking winds today between 30 and 35 mph gusting between 38 and 40 mph at times. Any loose objects left outside could be blown away. Winds this high could make driving on open roads difficult. Allow extra time and be careful.

This strong cold front just out to our west is what we are tracking today and we will continue tracking it into Monday. Lots of strong winds with this system along with a lot colder air on the back side! We will see some heavy rain showers and maybe even a few snow showers on the back side of this front. Some models are showing some rain trying to change over as that cold air plunges into the state. Take a look at the Bufkit model below.

In my last blog update I posted a Bufkit model showing a few blue bars. However this time snow is looking even more likely! Now don't get ahead of me, I don't see any real snow accumulation out of this event, however flakes will fly! It's looking like rain to start things in the early early morning of Monday, Then turning into a rain snow mix around 6:am trying to change over to all snow after 7:am EST. As for what we could wake up to?

Maybe a few snowy cars in the parking lot / driveway. Not looking like anything big this time around. You may have to dust off the cars or door step but that's just about it. The ground is simply still to warm and it will be really wet after we pick up a possible half inch or more of rainfall prior to the snow showers. Still it's a taste of winter for all the snow and cold weather lovers out there! I'm excited.

 

Here's your weather break down below.

 

TONIGHT- we have that wind advisory in effect until 9:pm EST. We will see winds between 25 and 35 mph gusting to 38 - 40 mph at times. Cloudy skies with rain showers moving in later on. A thundershower cannot be ruled out this evening. Main rain event will be after 1:am Monday. Expect a low tonight around 39* degrees.

 

MONDAY- we will see rain showers in the area early early Monday morning. Rain becoming a mix between 5:am and 6:am trying to become all snow after 7:am EST. Total precipitation between Sunday night and Monday will be between .25" and .75" inches. Little to no snow accumulation expected. Maybe a dusting on cars. Skies will start to clear out as the day continues becoming partly cloudy. High around 42* degrees and falling through out the day. Low Monday night around 25* degrees. Winds between 10 and 15 mph gusting to 20 mph.

 

TUESDAY- expect partly cloudy skies across the area with a high around 44* degrees. Low Tuesday night around 26* degrees. Winds light between 3 and 5 mph.

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Yes Monday night is looking like the coldest night we've had so far this season! Get the hot cocoa out and warm blankets ready.

This radar image was taken at 12:53pm EST. You can see that line of rain showers we're tracking just to the west of IL. This is what will move through the area later on this evening / tonight. Just look at all that colder air to the west of this cold front. This is the cold air that will plunge into the midwest as we head into the overnight hours.

 

So main threats tonight and Monday will be, gusty winds, heavy rain, slick rain snow mix in the morning hours, and cold temperatures Monday night. That's it for now bloggers. If you have any weather related pictures be sure to send them or post them to me on the JIWB facebook page. Link is on the side bar of this blog. I'd love to share your weather photos on the blog. Have a great Sunday!

Weekend Warm Up, Before Monday Cool Down. Bufkit Models Showing Blue Bars! Possible Snow In The Forecast?

It is crazy looking on satellite right now as we have scattered snow and rain showers in the west, and high pressure taking over in the east giving way to clear skies across the area. Take a look at how divided it is below.

This high pressure is going to keep us with partly cloudy skies across the area over the next few days however things will change as the cold front from the west barrels down on Indiana soon enough. Snow showers and rain currently in the west where that low pressure is above. A lot colder air is in place.

Look at how much colder it is currently in the west. Temperatures from 33* degrees to 15* degrees right now! 60s and 70s in the east. 45* to 50* degrees in the Midwest. This is the time of year when temperatures change like crazy. As we head closer to Sunday and Monday, that is when we will see the colder air return to the area bringing some rain and even some rain snow mix chances!

This cold front you see above is what will make things messy to start next week. This chart is looking into Sunday. We will see that cold front move closer to the area bringing rain chances as we head into Sunday night and Monday. Rainfall could be between .25" and .75" inches. We will see some gusty winds along with it. I'll have more details on that in just a moment.

As I said above, some models are showing the chance for some snow showers on the back side of this system Monday. Here is a look at the Bufkit model above. You can see the blue bars showing up Monday morning between 8:am and 11:am EST. We won't see any accumulation out of this however it will be nice for any snow lovers to get a peak at the wintry precipitation. Here is your detailed forecast below.

 

TONIGHT- we will see partly cloudy skies across the area. Winds will be light tonight between 10 and 15 mph. Expect a low around 44* degrees.

 

SATURDAY- we will see partly cloudy skies across the area with a mild high near 70* degrees. Winds will be slightly breezy between 10 and 15 mph gusting between 25 and 28 mph. A low Saturday night will be around 48* degrees.

 

SUNDAY- we will start out the day with partly cloudy skies, however clouds will increase as the day continues. We will be tracking that cold front moving in with rain showers out in front. Expect scattered showers to move into the area by Sunday evening into Monday. The main rain event will be around 1:am into later Monday morning. Currently expecting rainfall between .25" and .75" inches. A high around 67* degrees with a low that night around 45* degrees. Winds will be breezy between 15 and 20 mph gusting between 30 and 35 mph.

 

EXTENDED OUTLOOK- Some rain may change over to some snow showers as we head into later Monday morning. Little to no snow accumulation is expected. We will see the temperatures cool off once again after that cold front moves through the area. We're talking about highs only in the 40s and 50s again starting Monday.

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Before all the cooler weather to start next week, we have this weekend warm up to get through. Highs in the 60s and lows tonight between 44* and 48* degrees across the state.

 

If anyone gets any pictures of the first snowflakes of the season rather it be this Monday or later in the month, please post them on the JIWB facebook page! http://www.facebook.com/?ref=home#!/pages/Justins-Indiana-Weather-Blog/194210110637780 Thanks ahead of time!

 

Have a great day bloggers. I'll check back soon, also with looks into your thanksgiving forecast.

Indian Summer? 10 to 12 Degrees Above Our Average? Where Is The Cold??

Some warmer days are ahead. As we head into Thursday and this weekend we will see a ridge develop and move into the area giving way to much warmer air over the next few days. I'm talking about 60s back by Saturday, maybe as soon as Friday.

Above is a chart out of the national weather service showing the warmer air moving into the area. You can see we're expecting highs t range anywhere from 50 - 55* degrees on Thursday, 57 - 62* degrees on Friday, and 62 - 67* degrees as we reach Saturday and then into Sunday. Yes a brief warm up in November. Could this be our indian summer already?

 

I'm not seeing it get back into the 40s and 50s as our high again until after Monday. Our average high temperature for this time of year is supposed to be around 50* degrees. We will be a good 10 to 12 degrees above that this weekend.

 

As we head into tonight and tomorrow early morning we will see the chances for fog to increase across the area. I'm calling for dew points to be around 30* degrees with an air temperature around 31* degrees. So fog is looking likely.

TONIGHT- expect partly cloudy skies across the area with a low around 31*  degrees. Winds light and calm tonight between 3 and 5 mph. Chance of fog across the area so be careful if out.

 

THURSDAY- we will see partly cloudy skies through out the day. A high around 54* degrees. winds again will be nice and calm across the area between 3 and 5 mph. We're watching a ridge develop over the area which will be the start of a brief warm up. As we head into Thursday night we will look for a low around 35* degrees.

 

FRIDAY- we will see partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies across the area with a high around 59 - 60* degrees. A low Friday night around 44* degrees. Winds between 10 and 15 mph with a few gusts between 20 and 25 mph possible.

 

EXTENDED OUTLOOK- Highs will be a good 10 to 12* degrees above our average for this time of year as we head into the weekend. Sunday into Monday we will watch a line of showers / thundershowers possible develop along a cold front. This will also help bring temperatures down back around normal. 40s and 50s try to return as our high after Monday.

Winter Weather Preparedness Week In Indiana

Its winter weather preparedness week in Indiana. The reason for this week is to get you familiar with all the weather terms, understand the watches, warnings, advisories, etc, To know how to be safe when traveling in any winter weather this year.

 

Travel tips from the national weather service and the Indiana police.

Before you go on any trips, plan ahead. Check the weather forecast, if you need to make some changes to allow extra time do to weather related issues, then do so. Anything to make a safer trip for you and others. Know what the watches and warnings mean. Always obey the posted road signs! Adjust speed according to weather conditions. Slick snowy, icy, wet, roads are a big threat! Allow enough room between other cars for extra stopping distance. The Indiana Department of Transportation reminds you to allow snow plow operators to do their job. If their salt is hitting your vehicle you are following too close. avoid passing snow plows on two line roads. Better yet, avoid passing them all together.

Meanings of the winter watches, warnings, etc from the national weather service.

Winter weather advisory -- When a significant winter storm or hazardous winter weather is occurring, imminent, and is an inconvenience.

Winter storm watch -- A significant winter weather (i.e., heavy snow, heavy sleet, significant freezing rain, or a combination of events) is expected, but not imminent, for the watch area; provides 12 to 36 hours notice of the possibility of severe winter weather.

Winter storm warning -- A significant winter storm or hazardous winter weather is occurring, imminent, or likely, and is a threat to life and property.

Blizzard warning -- Winds that are at least 35 mph or greater, blowing snow that will frequently reduce visibility to 1/4 mile or less for at least three hours, and dangerous wind chills are expected in the warning area.

Wind chill index -- The calculation of temperature that takes into consideration the effects of wind and temperature on the human body. This is not the actual air temperature, but what it feels like to the average person.
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As for our weather today, we have a quick line of showers that will move through the area. And a brief warm up as we head closer to the weekend. Highs back in the 60s possible! I will have more details on this warm up coming soon. Until then have a great day bloggers.



Fall Back!

That's right bloggers, it is time once again to fall back! Time to turn the clocks back an hour. Did you remember to do this last night? I'm so happy that we're getting an extra hour of sleep again. It couldn't have come at a better time.

 

Well, Halloween is past, November is here, and Thanksgiving is upon us! It's all going so fast this year. I've already seen people with Christmas decorations out around town. My sister and grandma are part of it already. They went ahead and put up Christmas trees lol. Even though its over a month away, people are starting to get in the mood. But is it going to feel like winter anytime soon? Sure it's been chilly, but not down right cold by any means just yet. Take a look at tonight's forecasted lows.

Cold lows tonight in the low 30s below freezing, to the upper 20s around 29* degrees in areas. Our nights have been cold lately however not our daytime highs. I have been going through the MOS models as well as the NAO and AO models. Right now they're indicating another shot at some upper 50s / low 60s as our high once we head into the second week of November. NAO and AO models showing signs of going neutral to positive once again. Which means higher temperatures. This is something we will keep an eye on as I know we have some cold and snow lovers out there! Take a look at the NAO model for yourself below.

What you're looking at on this chart above is the red lines. Once they go over that horizontal black line, that's when the NAO is in a positive phase. Below is a negative phase, and the middle is a neutral phase.

 

Here's a look at your detailed forecast for the next few days below.

 

TONIGHT- we will see partly cloudy skies over the area with a cold low around 29* degrees. Winds will be light and calm between 5 and 10 mph.

 

MONDAY- highs will be chilly around 49* degrees with partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies through out the day. A low Monday night around 29* degrees with light winds between 3 and 5 mph.

 

TUESDAY- we will see mostly cloudy skies through out the day. A chance of a few light scattered showers in the evening / possible mix later that night. Any precipitation would be around a tenth inch or less. Expect a high around 49* degrees with a low that night around 36* degrees. Winds between 5 and 8 mph.

 

Have a great Sunday everyone.